Early Vote: Where We Are Now and What to Look for in the Coming Week

The partisan and gender dynamics I noted earlier this week largely continue. Registered Republicans are outpacing their performance among in-person early voters in the states where we have this information — most notably in the battleground states of North Carolina and Nevada. At the same time a puzzle is emerging where the gender distribution of early voters is similar to past years.

This is surprising given the surge in Republican in-person early voting as we might have expected more Republican men to be voting. There are more Republican men voting to an extent, but Republican women are more than keeping up such that there are still more Republican women than men voting in-person early in North Carolina.

What is happening and what am I looking for in the week ahead?